On Sunday Green Bay Packer fans and fantasy football owners all held their breath as franchise quarterback and fantasy stud, Aaron Rodger was on the ground holding his throwing shoulder in pain.
Unless you have been under a rock, you know by now Rodgers is likely out for the season with a broken collarbone that will require surgery. In his stead is third year quarterback Brett Hundley, a 2015 fifth round pick, who will make his first career start this week against the Saints.
Hundley had a poor performance against the Vikings, completing 55% of his passes, throwing for 157 yards, one touchdown, three interceptions while posting a 40 QBR. Hundley should be much better this week against the Saints after spending the whole week preparing as the starter versus being thrown into the fire mid-drive.
Before the game against the Vikings, Rodgers was averaging 21.4 fantasy points per game this season. Meanwhile, Hundley had just 4.6 fantasy points on Sunday. The Packers offense has several fantasy studs that should help Hundley while he is the starter. Now the question fantasy owners want to know is “can Hundley be trusted as a QB1 in fantasy?”
The answer is no, not yet. However, can Hundley be fantasy relevant? That answer is yes.
Thanks to spending three years in Mike McCarthy’s offense combined with the Packers talented skill position players, Hundley is capable of finishing as a top 12 quarterback on some weeks depending on the match up.
Hundley is similar to Rodgers and that will be key for both the Packers and for fantasy owners of not only Hundley but of Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams and others. Like Rodgers, Hundley can move with in the pocket and escape when needed; considering the Packers banged up offensive line this is critical.
Taking a look at Hundley’s career number, it is ugly. Prior to Sunday, Hundley has very little regular season snaps and none of any importance. In three career games Hundley is 3-11 passing for 17 yards, no touchdowns and one interception; awful to say the least.
However, during nine career preseason games, Hundley completed 66% of his passes, throwing for 1,179 yards, 12 total touchdowns and only two interceptions. Hundley has looked good in preseason action and according to reports, several NFL personal people believer Hundley has starting quarterback qualities.
Everything sounds like Hundley has the ability to be a low end QB1 the rest of the season. However, his schedule says otherwise. Six of the Packers final 10 games are against defenses that rank in the top 10 against opposing quarterbacks; including two of his three fantasy playoff match ups.
Fantasy owners start Rodgers against any defense in the league without thinking twice but with Hundley, fantasy owners shouldn’t have anywhere near the same confidence starting Hundley in any of those six games.
The bottom line with Hundley is simple. The Packers coaching staff will try to adjust the play calling to help Hundley succeed but that means more running attempts for Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones, and with that comes less fantasy points for Hundley and all the Packers wide receivers.
At this time Hundley is a mid tier QB2 that offers upside as a low end QB1 depending on the match up. However, if and it’s a big if, Hundley can take on a bigger load in the offense and the coaches call more pass plays for him, Hundley could sneak his way into a QB1 territory.