Odell Beckham Jr. burst onto the 2014 NFL scene for the New York Giants like a bomb. He literally just exploded. The crazy thing was that he didn’t stop. If you were smart enough or lucky enough to snag him off waivers in your fantasy football league, then you were rewarded to the fullest. This guy is an absolute stud and I am of the minority who thinks he can put up the same numbers for an encore.
Beckham played in just 12 games last season and still had 91 receptions, 1,305 yards and 12 TD’s. Those numbers are astonishing for 12 games. And he was a rookie! The fantasy numbers were off the charts. In a PPR league, with a rec=1 pt value, he got you an average of 7.5 points a game just in receptions, a TD per game average and 108 yards per game receiving. Depending on your bonuses for over 100 yards, Beckham averaged around 24 fantasy points PER GAME!! Ridiculous!
He also did this ish.
Now, we have to also look at the Giants’ offense. The schedule for the G-men doesn’t rank among the toughest in the league for 2015. He also plays in the NFC East, which hasn’t been known for pass defenses that crush souls. So, Beckham won’t have to go against monster defenses week after week. Eli Manning was pretty efficient for his first year in Ben McAdoo’s offense so one could assume these two could get a little more comfortable. That’s a scary thought.
Also, we have to remember that Victor Cruz will be back in the mix for the Giants. The loss of Cruz last season was a huge blow to the offense. Cruz was a monster in 2013 like Beckham in 2014. So the big question and fear is what happens to Beckham’s numbers with Cruz back. It’s crazy to think that Beckham can sustain last years’ numbers with Cruz in the mix. It just seems impossible. Manning would have to pass 80% of the time in this offense and that just isn’t going to happen.
What’s optimistic about Cruz coming back is how a defense can cover both of these guys at the same time. You can’t double both of them on the same play. One on one for either of these guys and they can go the distance on any play. That’s where I think you’ll see Beckham make up a lot of his fantasy points, is on long balls or breakaways. There isn’t a defensive back in the league that can keep up with him. There truly isn’t. Last season Beckham had longs of (in all different games) 59, 44, 37, 43, 50, 80, 63. And we all know Manning has no problem just lettin’ it fly to this kid.
A lot of people are worried about the “sophomore slump” and expect for his numbers to drop. And with Cruz coming back into the offense the math somewhat suggests that also. But, I will contend that Cruz and Beckham will help each other in that one of them will have a 1 on 1 situation every play. Also, Beckham’s numbers were through 12 games last year. I’m pretty confident he would be able to haul in the same numbers for a 16 game season. He’s not going to keep up a 24 point per game fantasy pace. But, I think he’ll get you around a 20 point average. You’d take that all day!
Odell Beckham Jr. is being drafted around picks 8-12 on average and is ranked anywhere from the 3rd to 6th best option at WR. He’s an elite WR1 for your lineup and a guy you’re going to start every single week. Don’t be afraid to draft him if he’s there because of the sophomore slump or Cruz coming back. The guy is a monster and just like the killer Draft Wizard by FantasyPros.com, will not disappoint you this season.
*Photo credit – Lionel Friederich