Prior to the season, if I were to tell you that Ronnie Hillman would be the Denver Broncos leading rusher after 4 weeks, what would you say?
I was extremely high on C.J. Anderson heading into the season, especially from a fantasy perspective. There was nothing not to like. The 3rd year running back was set to establish himself as one of the best in the league while Peyton Manning continued to regress. This would lead to more touches for Anderson, resulting in an influx of fantasy points.
As it has panned out, Ronnie Hillman is, in fact, the leading rusher for the Denver Broncos at the moment, and not Anderson. Hillman provided a much needed spark for the Broncos offense this past week against Minnesota. He ran for over 100 yards, highlighted by a 72-yard TD run. On less carries, he has more yards than Anderson and averages over 2 more yards per carry.
Heading into week 5, Ronnie Hillman is a hot waiver wire addition due to his outbreak in week 4 and the fall of Anderson. But can you trust him?
Prior to his big performance in week 4, Hillman had only 88 rushing yards through the first 3 weeks for just over 3 yards per game; whereas Anderson has been even less effective. Other than Hillman’s 72-yard run, he rushed for just 31 yards on the rest of his 10 carries. With that being said, he’s not a consistent big play threat. Every running back is bound to break out a big run here and there if you give him enough touches.
As it stands right now, the Broncos plan to continually use a RB committee in the backfield, but Hillman will likely get more touches in week 5. Despite that, I’m not buying the Hillman hype.
Had he not broke out that big run this past week, no one would even consider Hillman a viable fantasy option. He’s not consistent from down-to-down and isn’t guaranteed a reliable workload with Anderson in the backfield along with the pass happy offense. Without Ryan Clady, the Broncos offensive line has been suspect, to say the least, especially in run blocking. He may be worth a start in your FLEX, but I wouldn’t trust it.
I’m selling Ronnie Hillman heading into week 5.