This version of Drew Brees isn’t doing anyone any good. You drafted the New Orleans Saints quarterback in hopes that a philosophy change would help him out. In season long fantasy football leagues he could be had for a 5th round draft pick or later. The value was good, and hey, if he could even sniff the top-five, it was a major win.
That might be quite the reach in 2015. Through two weeks, Brees has just two touchdowns and hasn’t looked like a guy that is about to set the world on fire.
I’m not here necessarily to dig Brees’ grave and push him in. The digging has already started, but I’m not definitely sending him to his demise for the entire year just yet. After all, he stills gets the Buccaneers again and the Falcons twice. His schedule isn’t so formidable at first glance that you need to trade or drop him right this minute.
But nothing to this point suggests he and the Saints are going to turn things around in week three.
The evidence is mounting to sit Brees in fantasy football leagues, while fading him in daily fantasy football is also going to be strongly encouraged. A weekly top-10 lock, Brees is now barely hanging onto a spot inside my top-15 for week three.
Why? Because he’s sucked, for one. Also, his weapons aren’t producing for him and he’s now going into week three at less than 100%. That all added together is enough for me.
Then add a tough rivalry game with the Carolina Panthers – on the road. Brees and the Saints aren’t particularly great away from home, but add a bum shoulder and the road date being with the Panthers, and all hands are off.
Seriously, it’s only been two weeks but Carolina has been stingy as balls against the pass, giving up just the 8th most fantasy points (14) to the quarterback position. Compare that to last place (27), and that’s a pretty big deal. Sure, it’s only come against the likes of Blake Bortles and Ryan Mallett, but Bortles DID just torch the Dolphins last week and Mallett couldn’t produce elite numbers off of a whopping 58 passes.
Still not convinced? How about Carolina’s ability to shut down opposing wide receivers? Again, a steady and strong 8th (16 points). Not good for New Orleans, folks.
Carolina’s defense has also been getting it done through two weeks without the likes of Star Lotulelei and Luke Kuechly (missed week two) and it’s possible they’re out again this week. If in, though, it only gets worse for the Saints.
The recent history between these two squads doesn’t help matters, either, as the Saints have topped 13 points just once in their last three meetings (only one of which the Saints won). Brees’ numbers in those games? No games over 300 passing yards and no games with more than one touchdown. He also has tossed four picks has has taken 12 sacks in those contests.
If there is one thing we know about fantasy football, it’s that the past doesn’t always dictate the future. Brees is a talented passer and does have some guys that, at least before the season started, many of us would have agreed could produce at a fairly high level. But Brees isn’t quite himself, he’s on the road and the matchup isn’t favorable.
There is enough here to scare you away in week three. Brees is “confident” he’ll suit up this week. You just have to resist the temptation to use him.