So last week wasn’t my week for picking NFL games. Nothing that I thought would happen actually did happen as I watched my personal team fall to 1-1 with a .4 point loss. Jimmy Graham and Devante Adams just needed to combine for 11 fantasy points in a PPR league. But that’s okay, as it’s quite early in the season and the playoffs are still very much within reach. Let’s recap last week’s bold moves and move ahead to some out of the box thinking for week three in fantasy football.
Jameis Winston over Marcus Mariota, DeAngelo Williams over Jonathan Stewart
Lamar Miller over LeSean McCoy, LeGarrette Blount over Alfred Morris, Brandon Coleman over Brandon Marshall, Michael Floyd over Stevie Johnson, Pittsburgh Steelers DEF over New York Jets DEF, San Diego Chargers DEF over Kansas City Chiefs DEF
Eli Manning over Peyton Manning, Davante Adams over Alshon Jeffery (late scratch), Delanie Walker (late scratch) over Jordan Cameron, Austin Seferian-Jenkins over Travis Kelce
Not bad overall. A few big losses, but a some pushes as well keeping the damage minimal at 2-6-4. Overall, 9-9-6 through two weeks. Let’s take a look at Week 3’s biggest fantasy football bold moves as I look to recover and get back to Week 1 shape.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints over Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons
I know Brees is getting to that point where we may start seeing consistent regression, but I think he starts turning around this ship offensively against a Panthers defense that has big time ability but is without Luke Kuechly, most likely. Matt Ryan faces a suspect Cowboys secondary which is why you’d think to start Ryan here, but I don’t know how much I like him on the road against a defense that knows they’ll be relied on heavily with the losses to the offense.
Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills over Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers
I just have a feeling that the Saints are going to win this football game and start turning around this dreaded start to the season. Cam Newton has played quite well to start the season, but he’s still too inconsistent. Whereas Tyrod Taylor seems to continue to make plays and is slowly turning me into a believer. That and I have a rookie card autograph that’s worth jack crap at the moment. Miami has been somewhat of a let down to start the season. A lot of people felt that they’d cruise through the AFC East, but there’s opportunity for them to give up big plays.
Jeremy Hill, Cincinnati Bengals over Matt Forte, Chicago Bears
Sure Giovani Bernard took over against the Chargers in Week 2 and went for 120+, but this is still Hill’s job to lose going forward. He’s still a bigger threat to get in the end zone as well. Matt Forte is the guy you must play week in and week out, but man he faces a Seattle Seahawks defense that won’t have to worry about Jay Cutler and likely Alshon Jeffery. The Bears are making a case for deserving the #1 overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft.
LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots over DeMarco Murray, Philadelphia Eagles
Blount’s two carries for four yards was embarrassing for me to see in my starting lineup last week, but the gameplan will be to run the ball this week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Dion Lewis will still handle third down activity and is worth a Flex in PPR, but Blount will get in the end zone at least once. On the flip side, last years leading rusher DeMarco Murray looks like a fool in Chip Kelly’s zoo of an offense. Murray has 21 carries for 11 yards, but has provided some value in PPR leagues making 3-5 catches out of the backfield. Still, when is that 140 yard, two touchdown performance going to come out? Not this week against the Jets.
Shane Vereen, New York Giants over Lamar Miller, Miami Dolphins
Vereen is an absolute threat in PPR leagues, but facing a Redskins secondary who could improve in covering backs out of the backfield could produce plenty of yardage as well in the passing game. Lamar Miller doesn’t look good at all and the Dolphins face a pretty tough Bills defense.
Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers over Steve Smith, Baltimore Ravens
Steve Smith is still making plays at his age, but it’s Adams’ week to shine after James Jones came into town and stole his light. Rodgers will likely be without Eddie Lacy, and while James Starks is no slouch, Rodgers has been getting into a groove early and often.
Roddy White, Atlanta Falcons over Jordan Matthews, Philadelphia Eagles
Roddy White had something like two targets in Week 2 and scored zero points. This guy isn’t done, however, and Atlanta will face a Cowboys secondary that will be looking to make plays, but also are likely to be aggressive and give up big plays. Jordan Matthews will be on Revis Island, with Antonio Cromartie in the mix. Chip Kelly’s offense may be in trouble.
Markus Wheaton, Pittsburgh Steelers over Travis Benjamin, Cleveland Browns
A lot of people are buying into Travis Benjamin this week, but Josh McCown is starting and is less of a down field threat than Johnny Manziel has shown. Despite the Steelers getting Le’Veon Bell back and getting great production from DeAngelo Williams, I think Big Ben is going to have to throw the ball in the middle of the field to let Wheaton do his work after the catch.
Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions over Jason Witten, Dallas Cowboys
Ebron has been getting plenty of looks from Matthew Stafford in the first two weeks. Jason Witten may not play, but if he does he still will be without Tony Romo. I don’t think that Brandon Weeden will completely shoot himself in the foot, but he still is a significant downgrade for the Cowboys.
Heath Miller, Pittsburgh Steelers over Martellus Bennett, Chicago Bears
As stated with Markus Wheaton, I believe Big Ben throws the ball in the middle of the field a lot in this game. Heath Miller is always reliable as long as he’s healthy. Martellus Bennett has Jimmy Clausen throwing the football to him. No thanks.
Kansas City Chiefs over St. Louis Rams
While I think Green Bay manages to scrap up some nice yardage to produce in fantasy, I don’t expect a huge game in scores. Bryan Bulaga is out for the next six weeks and while Don Barclay held up well against Seattle, the Chiefs pass rush is outstanding. The Rams on the other hand have not found a way to keep teams out of the end zone having given up 31 and 24 points respectively. The Steelers offense can role and gets Le’Veon Bell back.
Cleveland Browns over Miami Dolphins
I don’t think that Oakland’s offense is truly capable of putting up big points like it did against the Ravens in week two. The Browns defense showed ability to get to the quarterback and play reasonably well. The Dolphins have to match up against an offense in Buffalo that has made big play after big play. I think Buffalo puts up 30+ points, although there is opportunity to get interceptions against Tyrod Taylor.