Week 1 in the NFL saw the sportsbooks take the biggest hit they’ve had in years on an opening week. A ton of money was on the Dolphins and it took a punt return to seal the four point spread. However, the Sunday night game made up some ground for the books as the Giants did enough to cover and help Vegas but still shoot themselves in the foot with a one point loss. If I may, as a Giants fan….
Idiots!!!! Idiots!!!! Idiots!!!!
Week 2 brings some interesting matchups. It’s still very early in the NFL betting season so we’re still trying to figure some teams out and who they want to be or are trying to be. Here’s my list of four games for week 2 that have the most upset potential against the spread (ATS):
Houston (+3) @ Carolina
Both teams are struggling. Carolina QB Cam Newton has no wide receivers remotely interested in catching a pass while the Texans are playing the QB carousel between Brian Hoyer and Ryan Mallett. Mallett will get the start this week against Carolina and though he doesn’t exactly WOW me he has the better weapons to work with. Carolina’s defense may be without both LB Luke Kuechly and DT Star Lotulelei and those would be huge holes to fill. I think Houston has more than Carolina and wins the game outright.
San Francisco (+6) @ Pittsburgh
San Fran QB Colin Kaepernick looked pretty good last week even though he didn’t throw a TD pass. He took some hits but bounced right back and showed some toughness. I think he’ll carry that over. Also, running back Carlos Hyde looked pretty darn good, too. Pittsburgh was overwhelmed in New England last week but also looked confused too often on defense. Now, not that the 49ers are the Patriots offense but I think the 49ers will at least keep it to a field goal loss if they don’t win the game.
New England @ Buffalo (+1.5)
The game of the week. Rex vs. Bill. Brady vs. Taylor. Well, forget the last one. Buffalo’s D looks scary good and Rex Ryan has always come up with a good scheme against Brady. The Patriots will get RB Blount back after a suspension but I don’t think that matters. This game is pretty much a pick’em but I’ll take Buffalo at home getting any kind of points with that defense.
Dallas (+5) @ Philadelphia
YES! I KNOW! I saw that Dez Bryant was going to be out. First, it’s the NFC East and, unless you’re playing the Redskins, consider it a 3 point game. Second, I don’t expect the Cowboys to make the same turnovers and mistakes against the Eagles that they did against the Giants. DeMarco Murray will be extra pumped to play his old Dallas friends but Philly won’t cover this game. IF the Eagles win it’s by a field goal.