Draft Kings is doing it again this week, hosting another “Millionaire Maker” in which the winner takes home a nice $2 million. The fella that took home the top prize in Week 1 is some guy named “BALLAH”, and I can only assume he gets his advice from Breaking Football dot com. His team finished with 228.04 points, finishing narrowly ahead of the 227.66 that came in second.
Want to be like BALLAH? You can be, just check out Draft Kings today. Hopefully, you’ll come up with a better username. More like userLAME, am I right? Now, let’s talk about football stuff (all listed prices are for Draft Kings, of course) as we prepare for week two in daily fantasy football:
5 Sneaky Sleepers
Last week in this space, my “5 Sneaky Sleepers” were Jameis Winston (OOPS), Andre Ellington (not bad, but he got hurt, because he’s Andre Ellington), Eric Decker (he scored, so there’s that), Larry Donnell (OOPS), and the Chiefs D/ST (solid). I’ll give myself 3/5, which ain’t bad, but we can do better.
Carson Palmer ($6,700), QB, Arizona Cardinals
Palmy looked stellar in his return to the field in Week 1, completing 19-of-32 passes for 307 yards with three touchdowns and no picks against New Orleans (28.68 DK points). The Saints’ defense is bad, of course, and this week Palmer and the Cards get another fine matchup with the Bears. While Chicago’s defense wasn’t embarrassing or anything in Week 1 against the Packers, they still allowed 31 points in a loss. Michael Floyd should be even more fit after being hampered a bit in the Saints game, as he was limited to just one catch. This price for Palmy is a bargain.
Lance Dunbar ($3,000), RB, Dallas Cowboys
Dunbar is a running back, but he didn’t receive a single carry in the Cowboys’ opener with the Giants. However, he hauled-in eight passes for 70 yards (both team-highs), and looked dangerous in the open field. Dallas is going to need all the help it can get with Dez Bryant sidelined, so it’s not crazy to imagine we see Dunbar featured even more this week. The matchup is also a plus, as the Eagles aren’t really capable of shutting-down anyone’s aerial attack. Their strength is along the frontline, which means the Cowboys could be forced into trying screens and quick-hitters to their backs. At the minimum, you can do way worse.
Eric Decker ($5,100), WR, New York Jets
Decker again! Sure, he only caught two passes last week, but one went for a score, so it could’ve been worse. Marshall is clearly the top-dog for the Jets (as he should be), but he’ll again likely be facing-off against one of the better corners in the league this week in Vontae Davis. The rest of the Indy secondary is super meh, which means Decker could be finding himself with plenty of space in which to operate. $5,100 is a decent value here.
Darren Fells ($2,500), TE, Arizona Cardinals
Not sure Fells is going to be sneaking up on anyone this week after his 4-catch, 82-yard, TD effort last week, but he’s too cheap to ignore. Arizona’s passing attack suddenly looks incredibly formidable, and they may be forced to go to the air even more this week given the injury to Andre Ellington. Chris Johnson is likely drawing the start at running back, which…yikes. I don’t think Fells is going to necessarily give you what he did in Week 1, but he’s worth a shot in a tournament.
Saints D/ST ($2,800)
As mentioned above, the Saints are not a very good defense. That said, did you watch Jameis Winston last week? My god, he looks like he sucks. Considering he threw 18 picks in college last year, we knew the picks in the NFL would be coming, which presents a decent opportunity for the New Orleans defense. They’re an aggressive unit under Rob Ryan, and we can hope the Bucs are just inept enough to prove the Saints’ D a worthwhile play.
4 HARD Fades
My 4 HARD Fades last week were Andrew Luck (/pats self on back), Jamaal Charles (meh), Emmanuel Sanders and Jimmy Graham (OOPS). At least I got Luck right.
Tom Brady ($7,500), QB, New England Patriots
Yep, I’m going back to the well. Andrew Luck didn’t have a fun time in Buffalo last week, and I’m not really expecting Brady to fare a whole lot better. The Bills’ defense is just mean, and they have a pretty substantial home field advantage. To be clear, I’m not saying you shouldn’t at least consider Brady, but I doubt I’ll have any shares of him this week.
Doug Martin ($5,600), RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I was one of the maaaaany that was all over the Doug Martin Redemption Train last week, only to see it blow up in my face. Of course, it wasn’t all his fault considering he was only afforded 11 carries, but I pretty much just want nothing to do with this offense. There are better values to be had at this position, I’m thinking.
Brandon Marshall ($6,400), WR, New York Jets
I pretty much detailed in the Decker space above why I’m not super crazy about Marshall this week. While he was quite impressive against Cleveland, this game on the road in Indy presents a tougher challenge. While Marshall’s clearly a guy that can just jump over everyone and catch anything, it’s hard to love anyone that’ll be getting a snoot full of Vontae.
Owen Daniels ($3,300), TE, Denver Broncos
Daniels has been on a lot of folks’ radars due to Peyton Manning’s long-standing affection for his tight ends, and he rewarded those believers with a nice 2-catch, 5-yard Denver debut. Factor in the apparent return of Manning’s noodle-arm and you’ve got yourself an unappealing combination on the road in KC this week.
3 Top Stacks
Last week I had the Falcons, Eagles and Cowboys as solid stack jobs, all of which worked fairly decently. Here are the three offenses I’ll be targeting the most this week.
Arizona Cardinals offense vs. Chicago
QB Carson Palmer ($6,700), WR Larry Fitzgerald ($5,400), WR Michael Floyd ($4,800), TE Darren Fells ($2,500), WR John Brown ($5,100)
I’ve been all over the Cardinals throughout this thing today, so you kinda know the deal by now. I don’t trust the Bears’ decent showing against Green Bay last week, and think Arizona might present a tougher challenge through-the-air. Screw Chris Johnson, though.
New York Giants offense vs. Atlanta
QB Eli Manning ($7,100), RB Rashad Jennings ($5,000), WR Odell Beckham, Jr ($8,800), WR Rueben Randle ($4,700), TE Larry Donnell ($3,100)
Despite finishing with 26 points, New York’s offense looked pretty weak overall against Dallas. However, I do think they’re due for a bounce-back effort on their home field against a Falcons defense that was lucky to hang on against the Eagles. Atlanta is particularly vulnerable to the pass, which is where the Giants should be able to do plenty of damage.
New Orleans Saints offense vs. Tampa Bay
QB Drew Brees ($7,800), RB Mark Ingram ($5,900), WR Brandin Cooks ($7,000), WR Marques Colston ($5,400), WR Brandon Coleman ($3,300)
Again, did you see what Tampa did last week? They allowed 42 points to an offense led by a rookie quarterback on their home field. This week, they get to face Drew Brees in the Superdome. I probably don’t need to elaborate much more on this.
2 Rookies to Watch
Last week I had Ameer Abdullah and Amari Cooper. Abdullah showed flashes of brilliance, while Cooper had his head slammed into his own helmet by a corner. Fun!
Ameer Abdullah ($4,500), RB, Detroit Lions
Why go away from Abdullah? He got 7 carries to Joique Bell’s 6, and also caught 4 passes for 44 yards. It’s a bit strange that the Lions went away from the run game despite having a huge lead early in this game, but they did. I’d expect them to commit more to the ground game this week against the Vikings, which could mean more good things for Abdullah (did you see what Carlos Hyde did to them?).
Marcus Mariota ($6,000), QB, Tennessee Titans
Mariota was the surprise of Week 1, demolishing the Buccaneers to the tune of 4 TD passes in the first half alone. His matchup gets a bit tougher this week on the road in Cleveland, but let’s not forget the Browns did just give up 31 points to an offense led by Ryan effing Fitzpatrick. He looked more poised and composed than any rookie should, so naturally I like him this week.
1 Swell Lineup
The lineup I posted here last week won me $20 in a 50/50, which is kinda the point. This is a nice, safe-looking lineup that SHOULD be good enough to place you in cash games.
QB Carson Palmer ($6,700)
RB Ameer Abdullah ($4,500)
RB Chris Ivory ($4,700)
WR Keenan Allen ($7,100)
WR Brandin Cooks ($7,000)
WR Jarvis Landry ($5,900)
TE Jimmy Graham ($5,800)
FLEX: RB Carlos Hyde ($5,100)
Rams D/ST ($3,000)