For the first time in NFL history the Redskins lost two receivers coming off 1,000 plus yard seasons. Pierre Garçon and DeSean Jackson are now in San Francisco and Tampa Bay respectively. After losing their top two receivers the Redskins signed Terrelle Pryor in free agency.
Currently the depth chart reads Pryor as WR1, Jamison Crowder as WR2 and Josh Doctson as WR3. Many believe this trio of receivers is just as good as last season’s group. At a much lower cap cost, $7.38 million for Pryor and Doctson verse $18.93 million for Garçon and Jackson, the new group should provide more value based on cap dollars spent.
Kirk Cousins threw for a career high 4,917 yards last season and finished as the fifth ranked quarterback in fantasy. I expect him to have a similar season this year. While the team did draft Samaje Perine to pair with Rob Kelley in the backfield, the Redskins are still expected to be a pass first team this season.
Obviously Jordan Reed is the alpha dog in the Redskins offense. Each of the team’s three receivers have key points that make them valuable fantasy players this year. Each receiver has a different range between their ceiling and floor and I will explain which receiver is the best value for standard, PPR and dynasty leagues.
Terrelle Pryor: currently WR1 on depth chart
Pryor is the receiver you should target in a standard scoring leagues. His current ADP in standard leagues is WR14. Coming off his first season as a full time wide receiver, Pryor managed to put up a 77-1,007-4 seasonal stat line despite playing for the Browns and their merry-go-round quarterback situation. Obviously Cousins is an upgrade over any quarterback the Browns had last year so Pryor should put up better numbers. However, Pryor was the only passing threat for much of the year and was force-fed targets, that won’t happen in Washington.
The good news is Pryor should be targeted more in the redzone this year and that should lead to more touchdowns. Pryor has posted several videos of on his social media pages of him working out and he is determined to show everyone that last season wasn’t just a one-year wonder. However, Pryor could struggle to produce when he isn’t force-fed targets. While I don’t believe Pryor is a one-year wonder, it is still a possibility.
Jamison Crowder was on a tear in the middle portion of last year. pic.twitter.com/CLNjTOtdgY
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) July 9, 2017
Jamison Crowder: currently WR2 on depth chart
Crowder is the receiver you should target in PPR leagues. His current ADP in PPR leagues is WR28. Last season, his best as a pro, Crowder had 67 catches on 99 targets. Head coach Jay Gruden has repeatedly said this offseason how he is impressed with Crowder and how he should have an expanded role this season. Crowder is entering his third year in the league and receivers tend to take a big step forward in their third season.
Last season Crowder caught seven of Cousins 25 touchdown passes. That number could decrease this year given that last season Garçon and Jackson had seven combined. I expect Pryor and Doctson to combine for around 12 touchdowns and those aren’t coming out of Reed’s six from last season. Many experts, including me, believe this could be Crowder’s breakout year. However, I ‘d much rather have him in PPR leagues given his touchdowns will be limited. It wouldn’t shock me to see Crowder finish with over 85 catches this season.
Josh Doctson: currently WR3 on depth chart
The wildcard of the trio, Doctson is an unknown as a NFL player. Last season he battled an Achilles injury, that eventually landed him on injured reserve. Doctson only had two catches off seven targets for 66 yards as a rookie. Recently Gruden said Doctson looks healthy and is ready to make an impact this season. The team expects big things from him and he is worth a look late in standard and even PPR leagues as a flier. But Doctson has the most value in dynasty and keeper leagues, where you could be adding a future WR1 later in your draft. His current ADP in dynasty leagues is WR33.
Let’s look at a scenario for next season, Pryor has a good 2017 season and leaves as a free agent for big money. Crowder is entering the last year of his deal and the team has not shown much desire in the past to resign receivers to long-term deals, especially if they’re demanding big money. That leaves Doctson taking on a bigger workload as potentially the number one receiver starting 2018 or at the latest 2019.
For this season Doctson will have to fight for his targets. Clearly fourth on the pecking order behind Reed, Pryor and Crowder. Doctson could surprise many people and have a strong season, but unless you play in a deeper league or three starting wide receiver league, Doctson is likely a week by week decision. Depending on matchups and injuries, Doctson might be a good DFS option at times this season. Assuming Doctson can stay healthy for 16 games, he should be in-line for a roughly 55-700-5 stat-line this season.
In conclusion, I have been cautious about drafting Redskins players in the past. However, this season I am very excited about the offense and expect five Redskins to make my top 150 fantasy board. Overall I would rank the Redskins’ FLEX players in an order of Reed, Pryor, Crowder and Doctson. Happy hunting fantasy friends! Go Redskins!