Last season the “YOU LIKE THAT!?” swept the nation after a passionate Kirk Cousins barreled passed media on his way into the locker room following a comeback win which would prove to be the start of a great season-ending stretch as he led Washington into the postseason. Cousins finished the season with 23 TDs to just 3 INTs in the final 10 games. However, it wasn’t enough to lock up a long-term deal as the Redskins decided to instead use the franchise tag on their breakout QB.
As if his 1st full year as the team’s starting QB didn’t prove enough, the Redskins added even more ammunition to the passing game in the draft with their selection of TCU WR Josh Doctson with the 22nd overall pick. Docston brings a good overall skillset to compliment the reliability of a Pierre Garcon and the electricity of a DeSean Jackson.
Contrary to popular belief, the Redskins didn’t address the defensive side of the ball, but instead they looked towards future needs and went with Doctson – knowing that both Jackson and Garcon are playing on expiring contracts this season.
Even in a crowded receiving corps, does Docston still carry fantasy value?
Sitting behind seasoned vets such as Jackson and Garcon, you can’t expect Doctson to produce off the bat. Even 2nd year player Jamison Crowder may be a better fantasy play based off his decent slot production as a rookie. One thing is for sure though, Jay Gruden and the Redskins are going to be throwing the ball a lot this season.
Last season the ‘Skins attempted 555 passes throughout the regular season which ranked in the middle of the pack. With the departure of Alfred Morris and addition of Docston, I expect to see that number eclipse 600 this season – especially with the organization wanting to see a bigger sample size from Cousins as both parties seek a long-term contract.
Doctson is a well-polished receiver who plays like a veteran with his smooth route running and football IQ. However, I’m not sold on him as a fantasy WR just yet due to the crowded WR corps in Washington. You know Cousins will look to continue his rapport which was established between him and Jordan Reed last season. Reed and Garcon were the only weapons to see over 100 targets last season – no one else on the team saw more than 80.
Ball distribution is something to watch on this offense for next season, and will be pivotal when analyzing a player like Doctson in the fantasy landscape. As touched on above, Reed and Garcon will see the bulk of the targets, and even Jamison Crowder will see a fair share of opportunities out of the slot. Even the wildcard that is DeSean Jackson was targeted less than 50 times, although he did miss a handful of games.
Assuming both Jackson and Garcon stay healthy for the entire season, which isn’t something you should bet money on, Doctson won’t be a primary weapon in the repertoire of Kirk Cousins. However, he will soar up the depth chart if one of the vets does happen to go down with an injury. I expect a bigger 2nd half for Doctson and don’t see much initial impact in the offense. He’ll gain reps as the season goes on, especially if other WRs land on the disabled list.
As for production, I see something in the neighborhood of 40-50 targets in his rookie season with maybe 350 receiving yards and a pair of TDs. His frame isn’t a threat in the redzone which will cut down on TD production, especially when you consider the ‘limited’ workload that is projected.
Based on upside, he warrants a late round pick in standard leagues as a bench stash. In dynasty leagues, you should consider him fairly early as I expect a huge breakout in his sophomore season.