Football is back! With the preseason under way fantasy players are doing mock drafts hourly (or maybe it’s just me) to prepare for their fantasy drafts. Each year fantasy owners want to construct their team with a proper mix of good value players and upside sleepers while avoiding players with high bust potential. For my fantasy readers, this is part six of eight installments where I will go division by division giving you two players with great ADP value, two players with high bust potential and two sleepers that could help put your team over the top. Today is the NFC South. Players ADP and rankings is based off standard scoring according to the fantasy football calculator. So let’s begin and as always, happy hunting fantasy friends!
48 players had 100 targets in 2016…
The best catch rate?
Saints Michael Thomas… 92 catches/121 targets. 76%… @cantguardmike
— Ben Fennell (@BenFennell_NFL) August 23, 2017
Michael Thomas WR Saints (2.03)- Last season Thomas finished as the WR9 and had over 1,100 yards and nine touchdowns as a rookie. The team was so impressed with Thomas they traded away Brandin Cooks in the offseason and made Thomas the team’s number one receiver. Last season Thomas had 121 targets compared to Cooks’ 117. I expect Thomas to easily get 140 targets this season. Currently Thomas is being drafted as the WR7 and has a great balance of upside and a safe floor.
On the Bucs' opening drive, RB Doug Martin had 5 touches, including a 2-yard rushing TD. Looked agile, explosive.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) August 18, 2017
Doug Martin RB Buccaneers (5.04)- If you like roller coasters, then you will like Doug Martin. In five seasons Martin has two seasons with over 1,400 rushing yards and the other three with under 500 yards. The two years that Martin had over 1,400 yards? His rookie year and his contract year; both times he had something to prove. Those two seasons are the only times he played all 16 games in a season. Now while Martin is suspended for the first three games of the season, I expect Martin to come back starting week four and prove to everyone he is a starting caliber running back. Currently Martin is being drafted as the RB25 and that’s a great spot to take a shot on a potential top ten running back.
Cameron Brate is the TE version of Rishard Matthews. He's put something on board. O.J. Howard threat grossly overblown.
— scott pianowski (@scott_pianowski) August 23, 2017
O.J. Howard TE Buccaneers (11.08)- Currently being drafted as the TE12, Howard is a big name college star who won’t have a lot of success early on during his NFL career. The Buccaneers passing attack starts with Mike Evans and then everyone else has to fight for the remaining targets. Howard will have to fight off Cameron Brate, who tied for league high among tight ends with eight touchdowns last season, and DeSean Jackson, who was signed to a three year $33 million contract, for targets. If Jameis Winston continues to make poor decisions with the ball, the Buccaneers will turn more to the run game. With better options being drafted behind Howard like Jack Doyle and Eric Ebron, let a league-mate take Howard.
Alvin Kamara is going to make Adrian Peterson a worthless signing for the Saints tbh.
— Conor Myles (@MylesSheet) August 21, 2017
Adrian Peterson, Mark Ingram RB Saints (4.10, 5.09)- Currently being drafted as the RB22 and RB27, respectively, the Saints will have a true running back by committee approach this season. In addition to these two runners, the team spent a 2018 second draft pick to acquire rookie Alvin Kamara. All of these runners will cut into each others workload leaving fantasy owners frustrated on a week-to-week basis. Barring an injury or trade to one of these two running backs, fantasy owners shouldn’t trust either one as anything more than a week-to-week matchup based FLEX option. I much rather have either Paul Perkins or Frank Gore, both of which are being drafted behind Peterson and Ingram. I hate a RBBC, especially on a pass-first team.
— NFL (@NFL) August 19, 2017
Christian McCaffrey RB Panthers (3.06)- The ultimate Swiss army knife, McCaffrey is currently being drafted as the RB15 and to me that’s way too low. McCaffrey was selected eighth overall in the NFL draft and the Panthers plan to feature him in the offense. With an ability to run between the tackles and make plays in space, McCaffrey has potential to be the next great offensive weapon. McCaffrey has huge upside and could finish as a top five running back. In standard leagues McCaffrey should be considered a high-end RB2 and in PPR leagues he should be considered a mid RB1. McCaffrey should easily top 320 touches this season and hit double-digit touchdowns.
— Harry (@HarryCFC_) August 20, 2017
Austin Hooper TE Falcons (13.11)- Last season as a rookie, Hooper had three touchdowns on only 19 catches and now is the starter for the Falcons as the team didn’t re-sign Jacob Tamme in the offseason. Tight ends traditionally struggle as a rookie and then take a huge step forward as a sophomore. Hooper has reportedly looked good in training camp and is expected to be more involved in the offense this season. Currently being drafted as the TE18, Hooper has more upside then tight ends being drafted ahead of him like Julius Thomas and Jason Witten. If you are looking for this year’s Garry Barnidge, a tight end that comes out of no where and turns into a top ten fantasy scorer, Hooper is that guy.