Sometimes you just have to know when to stay away from certain players in daily fantasy football. Last week crazy plays like Josh McCown and Gary Barnidge could have helped you win all of the money. But if you opted for the likes of Antonio Brown or Jeremy Hill (both under 10 fantasy points) you were mightily disappointed.
Those were two of our hard fades for week five, as we either didn’t love the pricing on DraftKings or didn’t feel good about the matchups. We also suggested to fade the likes of Aaron Rodgers, C.J. Anderson, A.J. Green and the Seahawks defense. Anderson was a good non-play and Rodgers/Green were OK but pretty spare overall given their price. Seattle’s defense ended up getting a strong 14 points despite giving up 27 points to the Bengals.
Overall, it was a successful week and if you faded those guys you probably weren’t too sad about it. There are more plays this week that could sound appealing but you may want to refrain from. Let’s take a look at our week six DFS fades:
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina Panthers ($6.7k)
It’s hard not to love a dual threat quarterback that actually pays off. Newton has been doing that lately, as he’s running a ton and is also producing through the air. The problem? He’s been doing it with few weapons and the last time he faced an even respectable defense (week 1 against the Jaguars) he wasn’t great. This week Newton is a fair price and has plenty of upside, but he’s going up against a tough Seahawks defense that will be desperate to avoid falling to 2-4. The last time he faced Seattle it was an ugly game that produced 18 total points. I want no part of that filth.
Russell Wilson, QB, Seattle Seahawks ($6.5k)
Ditto for Wilson, but even more so, as he’s been pure trash lately and has topped 20 fantasy points just once all year. Part of it is some tough matchups, part of it is shaky offensive line play and the rest is on Russ. For whatever reason, the numbers just aren’t there and suddenly expecting them to be against a solid Carolina defense is a little silly. I thought he’d deliver last week and he responded with a season-worst 13 fantasy points at DK. The value is there this week, but I’m not taking that dive.
Frank Gore, RB, Indianapolis Colts ($4.9k)
Gore has been solid to elite the past three weeks but in week six the Colts take on a Patriots team that is going to be spewing all kinds of hatred and revenge their way. Not only is this game likely to get out of hand early, but I’m not so confident in Gore’s ability to produce even if it doesn’t. I think he needs a score to return value this week and even though the price isn’t bad, there are other routes I’d rather go down at the running back position this week.
Antonio Brown, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers ($8.3k)
Michael Vick has started the past two games and in those two games Brown has recorded less than 10 fantasy points. I highly doubt that’s a coincidence, especially since one of the games was against a Ravens pass defense that just let Josh McCown embarrass them to the tune of 457 passing yards. Vick is mostly inept and can’t get the ball to Brown consistently, so even though Brown’s price is the best we’ve seen in some time, I can’t think about using him until Big Ben returns.
Jimmy Graham, TE, Seattle Seahawks ($5.4k)
Graham has three awful games in his first five outings with Seattle, so I’m pretty convinced he’s no longer an elite tight end in the fantasy realm. He’ll have his blow up games here and there, but I’m not feeling him as a must-play every week anymore and this week he draws a Panthers defense that, per DraftKings, is tops against the position. I can pay up for Gronk or go cheap and feel a lot better this week.
Baltimore Ravens Team Defense ($3.4k)
Yeah, I’m paying up for the defense that just got torched by the Browns. Right. Sure, Baltimore has had two strong outings this year, but the other three have been total misses and this week they’ll face the 49ers in San Francisco. That could be a recipe for success, but the Niners have allowed exactly 20 points at home this year and have been a better team on their own turf, across the board. Colin Kaepernick and the Niners offense showed life in a shootout with the Giants last week, too, so I don’t trust Baltimore’s D at all. I’d rather pay up for Denver or go cheaper for the Jets this week.