Arizona Cardinals running back Andre Ellington is entering his third NFL season in 2015 and is looking to bounce back from an injury riddled second year. Head coach Bruce Arians is on record expecting Ellington to get around 20 touches a game this season. I have Ellington circled as a prime bounce back candidate, however I still have my concerns on drafting him in fantasy football leagues.
The one thing that really caught my attention is that in two seasons Ellington only has a single 100-yard rushing performance coming from the 2013 season against the Falcons. If that wasn’t enough to concern you, Ellington only has one multi-touchdown game under his belt, coming last season against the Denver Broncos. In a PPR league Andre has a little more value, as he recorded at least give catches five times out of the 12 games he appeared in a season ago.
I have my reservations drafting Andre Ellington this year, as his average draft position varies in the low 40’s and that is a reach by itself. I will take a chance on him if I can get him past the fifth round, but I will not reach on Andre this season if I can help it. The injury prone running back has talent and will be in an offense where he can excel if healthy, but a paltry 3.3 yards per carry average in 2014 and is health woes bog his fantasy value down. The addition of rookie running back David Johnson also adds unwelcome competition. I think this is a situation of the floor production being too low to counter out how high Ellington’s ceiling can be this year.
Ultimately, I do believe Ellington is a bounce back candidate in fantasy circles, but I am not sure I want the burden on my shoulders on draft day. Andre Ellington is more than worth a shot at the right price in PPR leagues but the risk is still very clear. There will be similar players at a cheaper price tag throughout the draft, so don’t buy into the hype blindly when it comes to Ellington this season.