The Davante Adams hype train was already in full swing in Green Bay, but now with Jordy Nelson done for the season with a torn ACL, Adams is an even more appealing draft target. Adams has already seen his ADP and positional ranking shoot up across various fantasy football outlets, and rightfully so, and he is going to be the main beneficiary of Jordy Nelson being out.
The second round wide out from Fresno State really emerged in the second half of last season and gained the trust of quarterback Aaron Rodgers. As a rookie Adams posted 38 receptions for 446 yards and three touchdowns. Davante Adams is a really fine looking receiver but how good will he be now?
Before we get too far lets take a look at what Jordy Nelson did a season ago. Jordy Nelson was targeted a whopping 151 times, bringing in 98 balls for 1,519 yards and 13 touchdowns. It will be hard to assume Adams will reach 151 targets this year. On the opposite side of Nelson, Randall Cobb was targeted 126 times, while catching 91 of them for 1,287 yards and 12 touchdowns. Cobb and Nelson combined for 277 targets, catching 189 balls for 2,806 yards and 25 touchdowns.
It will be difficult to project what Davante Adams does this year, but it is fairly reasonable to assume around 100 targets for 1,000 plus yards and greater than 7 touchdowns. Where to take Adams in the draft, is going to be a lot harder to pull off now as everyone will be targeting Adams once the third round completes. Adams certainly has big shoes to fill in this Packers offense without Nelson, but the talent and targets will be there for Adams to be a top 20 wide out this season, with a top 10 receiver ceiling. Davante Adams is a secure WR2 now in all formats.
Also, if you already had your draft, and were unlucky to have Nelson and missed out on Adams, target Jeff Janis as a waiver wire add to get some exposure to this high powered Packers offense. Janis is 6’3 219 pounds and ran a 4.42 40 at the 2014 NFL combine, he won’t provide you Jordy Nelson like numbers but should pile up some yards and touchdowns as the Packers number 3 wideout this year. Even if you aren’t enamored with Adams right now, you should at least consider using him at a cheap rate in DFS fantasy football leagues. He comes at quite a bargain for week one and could be a key piece to helping you build a big winner.