Rex Ryan is out, Todd Bowles is in. What does this have to do with fantasy football? Quite frankly, a lot. For starters, the West Coast offensive scheme is gone. Geno Smith is not a West Coast QB. Under direction of new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey, the plan is simple: simplify things. Gailey appears to install a quick read offense working out of the Shotgun or Pistol where Smith excelled at West Virginia University under Head Coach Dana Holgorsen.
After analyzing some game clips, and going through game logs, Geno Smith was trending up the last three weeks of the 2014 NFL season. During that span Smith threw for five touchdowns to one interception including a 358-yard performance against the Miami Dolphins to close the season. Decker and Marshall will provide enough on the outside to give Geno some DFS appeal in the right matchup. However, I am staying far away from Geno in season long fantasy football leagues until I see consistent numbers week to week.
Key addition wide receiver Brandon Marshall brings a lot of experience to the table and provides Geno Smith his first true number one target. The 31-year old Marshall has been living with Geno to build chemistry and help mold Geno into a viable quarterback. I don’t see Marshall being a legit number one WR in season long or DFS this year but he makes a solid WR2 option in all formats.
Opposite from Marshall is Eric Decker. Decker, who was injured much of last season, quietly put up 74 catch, 962 yards, and five touchdowns year. I have Decker locked in as a WR3 in season long formats this year and advise you to not count on Decker being your number two option. Decker and Marshall both have to drop to me in season long leagues. I am looking for Marshall in the late fifth round, and Decker closer to the tenth or later.
Running back Chris Ivory is a borderline RB2 in season long formats. Ivory rushed for 820 yards and six scores last season and should be in line for a bigger workload this season. I currently have Ivory ranked at 30th in a PPR format and wouldn’t reach on him before the ninth round this year.
WR Devin Smith and TE Jace Amaro will be weekly low owned players in DFS. Both will have favorable matchups throughout the course of the season if Decker and Marshall produce on the outside. Neither Devin Smith or Jace Amaro are draftable in standard or PPR season leagues, however.
Final verdict: The New York Jets will go how Geno Smith goes. Geno will process information better in the simplified spread system under Chan Gailey. It is still going to be a stretch to take Geno on draft day, but he could become a viable waiver wire addition to your team. The outside WR duo in Decker and Marshall will be on my radar late in fantasy football drafts, but neither are worth wasting a fourth rounder for. Chris Ivory is my favorite New York Jets fantasy option in season long leagues to target this year. Ivory will look a lot more appealing come the eleventh round when he is still available.