The Dolphins have an extremely talented roster. With Kenny Stills back and Jay Ajayi’s breakout season, much is expected from the Dolphins. Can Ryan Tannehill take the next step and turn this into an elite fantasy offense?
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) July 15, 2017
Jay Ajayi entered last year as the backup to Arian Foster. His performance and Foster’s retirement led to him becoming the starter. Ajayi had some amazing performances, eclipsing 200 rushing yards three times.
This year, Ajayi is in the second tier of running backs and is a solid RB1. Drafting Ajayi in the early second round is great value. Whether you draft a wide receiver first and then get a stud in Ajayi or draft two backs to start, Ajayi is a great pick.
Jarvis Landry is a very controversial fantasy player. His skills warrant a high draft pick but his role on the team doesn’t. In PPR leagues, Landry is an elite weapon, who will see 90-100+ catches. In standard leagues, the 4-5 touchdowns he scores makes him more of a WR3/FLEX. His current ADP doesn’t reflect that value in standard leagues though.
Being drafted in the middle of round five, Landry needs to be your third receiver in standard to return value. Two rounds later, Donte Moncrief could end the season with the same point total in standard leagues.
DeVante Parker is extremely talented, but inconsistent. The issue with the Dolphins is they have “too many” talented receivers. Parker is being drafted too early, going before Pierre Garcon and Cameron Meredith who have clearer roles on their teams.
Parker has the potential to have a breakout season but the Dolphins offense can’t support three reliable receivers. If Parker is on your bench, he provides strong value as a potential breakout player that you don’t have to rely on.
Kenny Stills is back in Miami after testing the waters in free agency. Stills isn’t reliable enough to be a starter, as the Dolphins deep threat. Stills’ nine touchdowns from last season are surely going to drop. With Julius Thomas joining the ranks, Stills won’t see enough touchdowns or receptions to be reliable.
BUST: Julius Thomas
Thomas got payday from the Jaguars after success in Denver. After consecutive 12 touchdown seasons in Denver, Thomas scored nine in two seasons with the Jaguars. Now in Miami, Thomas isn’t likely to be much more productive than he has been as of late.
With multiple injuries and an uncertain role, Thomas shouldn’t be expected to be your starting tight end. Thomas is worth a late round pick as he could become a redzone target under former Broncos offensive coordinator Adam Gase.
— Ben Morgan (@LoadedBox_Ben) July 20, 2017
SLEEPER: Ryan Tannehill
Ryan Tannehill has all the weapons he could desire at his disposal. Running back? Check. Deep threat? Check. Possession receivers? Check. Redzone target tight end? Check. So now it’s up to him to take the next step in his progression and put together a 4,000+ yard season with 25-27 touchdowns.
The Dolphins will be a run first team behind Ajayi, but with his success last year teams will be preparing for him. This should give Tannehill and his receivers opportunities to make big plays through the air and put up points. If he is fully recovered from a partially torn ACL, Tannehill and the Dolphins offense should be firing on all cylinders.